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Jan 23, 2013
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a vote on the debt ceiling. we will get to john harwood in a moment on what it means for the white house and senate. but first, apple eamon javers on the hill. >> we expect it to pass, maybe tighter than republicans would like the vote count to be, but ultimately what the pleasure would do is extend the debt measure through to may 19th and politically what it does is rearranges the order of the fiscal fights we will have over the next couple of months and it means we will fight first over the sequester. remember that's that across the board budget cut postponed during the fiscal cliff fight in december and january. now that will be the first fight up at the beginning of march. republicans feel that that is a much more safe political ground for them to fight on than to fight over the debt ceiling which of course could threaten a default on the nation's obligations so we do expect this vote within the next couple of minutes here to pass by republicans, then it will go over to the senate side and the white house ha
a vote on the debt ceiling. we will get to john harwood in a moment on what it means for the white house and senate. but first, apple eamon javers on the hill. >> we expect it to pass, maybe tighter than republicans would like the vote count to be, but ultimately what the pleasure would do is extend the debt measure through to may 19th and politically what it does is rearranges the order of the fiscal fights we will have over the next couple of months and it means we will fight first over...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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the debt ceiling debate, the u.s. set to hit that $16 trillion limit on borrowing in the next month, if we haven't hit it yet. let's take a listen to what president obama had to say about the potential battle looming in congress. >> markets had could go haywire, interest rates would spike for anybody who borrows money. every homeowner with a mortgage, every student with a college loan, every small business owner who wants to grow and hire. >> jared, how does this play out? >> well, we're beginning to hear lots of sounds from republicans that are more in a compromising mode than we heard a week ago. right now they're talking about perhaps an increase in the debt ceiling that lastins for a coup months. frankly, and russ may agree with me here, i don't think markets would react very approvingly to basically just another lurch from crisis to crisis. it wasn't too long ago that, maria, you and i were in these chairs talking about the fiscal cliff. now the debt ceiling. do you want to have this discussion two months from no
the debt ceiling debate, the u.s. set to hit that $16 trillion limit on borrowing in the next month, if we haven't hit it yet. let's take a listen to what president obama had to say about the potential battle looming in congress. >> markets had could go haywire, interest rates would spike for anybody who borrows money. every homeowner with a mortgage, every student with a college loan, every small business owner who wants to grow and hire. >> jared, how does this play out? >>...
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Jan 24, 2013
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they agreed with speaker gingrich when he said don't move the debt ceiling. sequester is the key. >> sequester is the key. it what his boss and president obama do not want. it would trim 1.2 trillion dollars, most of which would come out of social programs. however, if you were going to annihilate the republicans, would you choose to split the gop? in other words, i'm interested in the mechanics of this annihilation scenario. let me begin with immigration. the republican party is split on immigration. i'm glad they're split on immigration. at least now there are new sensible voices. i tend to be a little more enlightened on this. is immigration where obama go to split the gop? >> if you want me to be honest -- >> be totally honest. >> you want annihilation. can you say that on this show. >> thank you. i think kelly ann might be able to back me up on this. i think the annihilation of the republican party is happening by elements of the republican party. you talked about the split you have. you have a lot of enlightened people such as yourself burr you have a l
they agreed with speaker gingrich when he said don't move the debt ceiling. sequester is the key. >> sequester is the key. it what his boss and president obama do not want. it would trim 1.2 trillion dollars, most of which would come out of social programs. however, if you were going to annihilate the republicans, would you choose to split the gop? in other words, i'm interested in the mechanics of this annihilation scenario. let me begin with immigration. the republican party is split on...
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Jan 22, 2013
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they are teeing off this new debt ceiling bill. john boehner will be housing a meeting with key republican leaders at 5:00 p.m. eastern time. >> reporter: >> that's coming up and john harwood is here with a preview before that meeting. >> reporter: interesting to see how john boehner describes it, but there are some signs that the whole debt ceiling threat as a source of instability for markets and the economy may be melting away before our eyes. house republicans are going to take up a bill tomorrow afternoon to extend the debt ceiling, not just to april 15, but to may 18. they are going to do it with a mechanism that would allow them in effect to suspend the debt ceiling, not even to raise it making it easier for conservatives to vote for it and senate democrats say they plan to take up that proposal and expect to pass it by an overwhelming margin sometime within the next week or so. now, jay carney at the white house today for his part said we wouldn't a longer term extension than that but the president is not going to block thi
they are teeing off this new debt ceiling bill. john boehner will be housing a meeting with key republican leaders at 5:00 p.m. eastern time. >> reporter: >> that's coming up and john harwood is here with a preview before that meeting. >> reporter: interesting to see how john boehner describes it, but there are some signs that the whole debt ceiling threat as a source of instability for markets and the economy may be melting away before our eyes. house republicans are going to...
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Jan 22, 2013
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so is the gop about to cave on a debt ceiling deal? we may know a lot more soon. there's a plan floating around washington, stop lawmakers pay if there's no solution on the debt ceiling by the deadline day. >>> and this guy, he's teed off, the golfer phil michakelson tee off over his taxes. and he's not going to take it anymore, or is he? sue herera is live at the new york stock exchange. >> earnings are front and center with j & j, dupont, travelers all out with results. more on them in a few minutes. let's get you ahead of the curve. google is getting ready to report its latest results after the bell. fears about an ad revenue and major focus on those shares. google right now is down 3 bucks on the trading session. john is in silicon valley with what investor s need to know ahead of the numbers. >> couple of important themes this quarter, mobile and mobile. mobile's impacted on the core business. as more people do searches from mobile devices, google's revenue has been coming down. it's more than likely this trend will continue as smartphone and tablet sales spi
so is the gop about to cave on a debt ceiling deal? we may know a lot more soon. there's a plan floating around washington, stop lawmakers pay if there's no solution on the debt ceiling by the deadline day. >>> and this guy, he's teed off, the golfer phil michakelson tee off over his taxes. and he's not going to take it anymore, or is he? sue herera is live at the new york stock exchange. >> earnings are front and center with j & j, dupont, travelers all out with results....
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Jan 21, 2013
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we've gone over the cliff, now we have the debt ceiling. but, you know, even if they get over those two short-term problems, you still have got the problem of a massive deficit, which is going to have to be reigned in. at some point, you're going to get a fiscal squeeze in america and that is going to put a break on what is not very far from economic growth. i think you'll have that which is always something that is going to be there in the background. you have a lot of debt, as well, still in the private sector, which needs to be fluffed off. there's a deraef raejing that you've been seeing right across the western world is still going to go on, i think, for the best part of this decade. >> and we heard leading up to this election that rarely has a u.s. president been elected with such high levels of unemployment. what was different this time? >> oh, i think it had something to do with the candidate he was facing not being able to energize the public. but i also think, look, reflation? the public loves that, right? free money. >> but do th
we've gone over the cliff, now we have the debt ceiling. but, you know, even if they get over those two short-term problems, you still have got the problem of a massive deficit, which is going to have to be reigned in. at some point, you're going to get a fiscal squeeze in america and that is going to put a break on what is not very far from economic growth. i think you'll have that which is always something that is going to be there in the background. you have a lot of debt, as well, still in...
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Jan 23, 2013
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after that they will reimpose a debt ceiling, they say. and suspect the pay of members of congress if their chamber of commerce hasn't agreed. politically wloo what it does is puts the debt ceiling fight down the list of political fights that are upcoming and it brings up the fight over sequestering. remember from the fiscal cliff. pe just kicked the sequestering back to the giping of march and political battle over spending cuts is something the republicans would much rather have as opposed to a fight over potential default on u.s. obligations in which they can be po portrayed as reckless. republicans liked it and voted for it but in the end the wlous says, it will sign the bill of the white house press secretary jay carney said it is not entirely perfect. take a listen. >> ideally we would extend a raise the debt ceiling for a long period of time. so that this is not a question. so that uncertainty that surrounded this issue of late because of the political jat ji that house republicans have taken will be removed or would be removed. >>
after that they will reimpose a debt ceiling, they say. and suspect the pay of members of congress if their chamber of commerce hasn't agreed. politically wloo what it does is puts the debt ceiling fight down the list of political fights that are upcoming and it brings up the fight over sequestering. remember from the fiscal cliff. pe just kicked the sequestering back to the giping of march and political battle over spending cuts is something the republicans would much rather have as opposed to...
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Jan 22, 2013
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call it debt ceiling spackle. why the newest development in the debt talks is much to do about nada. don't worry, everything's fine. one analyst who says don't bail on boeing just yet, tand why por phil mickelson is ready to pack his bags and get out of dodge. also a change is coming into your atm. >>> there are no big moves in the markets, but the dow touched its highest intraday level in over five years. it is on its best monthly gain since january of 2011, and part of this move is being fueled by historic highs for the dow transports for the fifth straight session. let's get straight down to courtney reagan on the floor of the nnysc. >> we are seeing the dow outperform, making it the fifth way that the transport also hit the historic highs. we have seen this pattern of the transports outperforming the industrials since the middle of december. airlines gained the most, up about 28% since the november 16th low. but if we look at stocks overall, you mentioned t not a super exciting day from the onset. we moved in
call it debt ceiling spackle. why the newest development in the debt talks is much to do about nada. don't worry, everything's fine. one analyst who says don't bail on boeing just yet, tand why por phil mickelson is ready to pack his bags and get out of dodge. also a change is coming into your atm. >>> there are no big moves in the markets, but the dow touched its highest intraday level in over five years. it is on its best monthly gain since january of 2011, and part of this move is...
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Jan 21, 2013
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and then with the debt ceiling, same thing. i do think there's some evidence that republicans are saying, you know, in part for public image reasons but maybe in part because of good economic reasons, we can't keep whacking away at the economy like this to please our base we ha. >> it's not about the two parties necessarily shifting their philosophical positions or moving together but more of a practical decision by the house leadership to recognize the limits on what they can accomplish with the majority in the house and the limits in terms of the public support for their position. you know, one of the things, chuck, the president used the campaign to do was to try to lay out in front of the public the competing visions for approaches to economic growth and deficit reduction. he feels like he's been vindicated, and i think republicans in the votes that jared was just talking about str recognized he has a point. >> yeah, but, john, it all boils down to there's a very different vision when you're talking about a government that
and then with the debt ceiling, same thing. i do think there's some evidence that republicans are saying, you know, in part for public image reasons but maybe in part because of good economic reasons, we can't keep whacking away at the economy like this to please our base we ha. >> it's not about the two parties necessarily shifting their philosophical positions or moving together but more of a practical decision by the house leadership to recognize the limits on what they can accomplish...
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Jan 29, 2013
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we seemed to have punted down the road the idea of using the debt ceiling as a bargaining chip. that's question number one. number two, can the rate of earnings grow? the earnings numbers are okay. earnings growth has slowed. can that rate of earnings growth sustain this kind of rally, these kinds of prices and evaluations. >> what do you think, kenny? >> i think it's ahead of itself. listen, the government put the sequestration and debt ceiling on vacation for six to ten weeks. therefore, the markets are concentrating right now. as we move through february, you can believe sequestration is going to come to the top again. when it does, it will have that whole sense of anxiety. >> let me answer questions. we are seeing revenue growth now. we have no revenue growth last quarter, now almost 4% in the quarter. if we get an acceleration even modestly top line growth, 5% maybe, that will go right to the bottom line. >> i want to get to rick santelli. he had an auction that went off the board. how does it look, ricky. >> doesn't look bad. we'll give it a grade in a minute. one issue ma
we seemed to have punted down the road the idea of using the debt ceiling as a bargaining chip. that's question number one. number two, can the rate of earnings grow? the earnings numbers are okay. earnings growth has slowed. can that rate of earnings growth sustain this kind of rally, these kinds of prices and evaluations. >> what do you think, kenny? >> i think it's ahead of itself. listen, the government put the sequestration and debt ceiling on vacation for six to ten weeks....
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Jan 28, 2013
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. >> that being the debt ceiling. >> the debt ceiling is a big issue. the fiscal cliff was a big issue on the tax side. we've extended the debt ceiling to may. that really could be july. i don't know that they represent the risks that a lot of people thought was represented in august 2011 heading into it. we realize hindsight, yields did not spike dramatically. we didn't get a massive number of investors whether it was institutions, pension funds that were forced out of treasuries. because of that aaa rating gone. i think we learned some lessons. but i still think unfortunately washington and the ranker and the political system remains one of them. >> it sounds you're not as worried about washington. >> we're sadly becoming immune to their antics. >> we'll leave it there. good to see you. thank you so much. >>> about ten minutes to go before we close it up on monday on wall street here. dow jones industrial average still hanging in just below 13,900. >>> well, it has been the feud that continues to be the buzz on wall street. >> and in 2003 i get a call
. >> that being the debt ceiling. >> the debt ceiling is a big issue. the fiscal cliff was a big issue on the tax side. we've extended the debt ceiling to may. that really could be july. i don't know that they represent the risks that a lot of people thought was represented in august 2011 heading into it. we realize hindsight, yields did not spike dramatically. we didn't get a massive number of investors whether it was institutions, pension funds that were forced out of treasuries....
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Jan 23, 2013
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the house voting today to extend the debt ceiling. we're in washington with a congresswoman who will have just cast her vote. >>> and you have heard by now that housing is recovering, but how do you make money in the rebound? we have some stocks that have benefited from the home renovation boom. we'll tell you which ones they are and whether you should be in or out. >>> speaking of being in or out, personal finance website learnvest shares its stories on a new version of "the power pitch" that's all today in a quarter half. now back to scott. >> it is the other big earnings report after the bell, netflix. the company has beaten the street the last eight quarters in a row and the stock has been on a tear. which means expectations are high. so let's take positions ahead of today's results. pete, what are we looking for here ? >> the four was all about the content, the buying of the content. now you need streaming subs to pay for it. >> and you have to have a number between a million and a half and two. if they can get in that range that
the house voting today to extend the debt ceiling. we're in washington with a congresswoman who will have just cast her vote. >>> and you have heard by now that housing is recovering, but how do you make money in the rebound? we have some stocks that have benefited from the home renovation boom. we'll tell you which ones they are and whether you should be in or out. >>> speaking of being in or out, personal finance website learnvest shares its stories on a new version of...
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Jan 22, 2013
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earnings, is it going to be debt ceiling talks? basically, is it macro? >> well, i think today and tomorrow is going to tell us a lot. i want to see how google's earnings affect the nasdaq and in turn how the s&p reacts to that. and then tomorrow we have apple. i want to see how apple comes out. is apple going to take out the recent low of 43 and change? and how does the nasdaq react to that? and then what does the s&p react to the nasdaq? right now, i feel the s&p rally is going to be held hostage by the nasdaq. if google and apple can sustain their ground, then i think we keep going up. if they start to pull back, buyer hes in the s&p is going to say why buy them today if they're going on sale tomorrow? >> 483, we know the levels to watch for apple. anthony, thanks. >> thank you. >>> before we go, pro golfer fill michaelson has said he will make drastic changes because of several recent u.s. california and state tax hikes. the four-time major winner says he may move out of california or even retire. mickelson says if you add up everything, his tax rate
earnings, is it going to be debt ceiling talks? basically, is it macro? >> well, i think today and tomorrow is going to tell us a lot. i want to see how google's earnings affect the nasdaq and in turn how the s&p reacts to that. and then tomorrow we have apple. i want to see how apple comes out. is apple going to take out the recent low of 43 and change? and how does the nasdaq react to that? and then what does the s&p react to the nasdaq? right now, i feel the s&p rally is...
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Jan 23, 2013
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but you made this deal yeah, we are going to extend the debt ceiling. now, it gets attached to a balanced budget. >> two points, in regard to congressman welch. when you have liberal s ip the house and senate, that is their plan to spend more money. i know you are talking about our budget larry, but we have to step back. there is going to be no budget that takes place unless the senate passes a budget. but to get congress both chambers to work together, we need the senate to pass the budget. so we said no budget senate, no pay. that is a way to get the senate to engage. >> i'm not challenging your logic, but i'm challenging your process. the series of dates that is so important one is april 15th. i preseume that is paul ryan's budget. i don't see how you can vote tomorrow on a debt extepgs nsio increase and attach a balanced budget before you know what the balanced budget is. i see that as a problem. i want peter to tackle that. >> we are passing the no budget no pay act. it is going to give both chambers, the senate and the house to pass the budgets. w
but you made this deal yeah, we are going to extend the debt ceiling. now, it gets attached to a balanced budget. >> two points, in regard to congressman welch. when you have liberal s ip the house and senate, that is their plan to spend more money. i know you are talking about our budget larry, but we have to step back. there is going to be no budget that takes place unless the senate passes a budget. but to get congress both chambers to work together, we need the senate to pass the...
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Jan 22, 2013
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joining us now on set to talk equity market structure, and the debt ceiling. jeff solomon cowen & company ceo. let's start with, i'm intrigued now. equity market structure. what are you going to talk about now? how do you want to talk about that? >> well, i think, i mean, we've been talking for a little over a couple of years about how crazy the equity market structure has gotten in terms of fast speeding, electronic trading, high frequency trading and how basically we've gotten away from fundamental investing in the equity markets. and so, there's a movement afoot, later on, actually beginning of next month, to have a roundtable discussion at the s.e.c. about a widening tick increments, adding bid offer spreads for small cap stocks and a way to try to drive liquidity back into the small cap market. >> my question is, if we did see a return of the individual investor and just more interest in the stock market, i argue was very low, still, even though we're getting close to highs on the -- >> i agree. >> i still think it's low. wouldn't that solve a lot of the
joining us now on set to talk equity market structure, and the debt ceiling. jeff solomon cowen & company ceo. let's start with, i'm intrigued now. equity market structure. what are you going to talk about now? how do you want to talk about that? >> well, i think, i mean, we've been talking for a little over a couple of years about how crazy the equity market structure has gotten in terms of fast speeding, electronic trading, high frequency trading and how basically we've gotten away...
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Jan 23, 2013
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the house is expected to vote on extending the debt ceiling. there is a new plan the house will take up which would say no one in the house of congress that doesn't pass a budget should get paid after i believe may 19th or something. is that a plan that would also pass in the senate? >> it might, becky. i've got give the house credit for focusing on the real underlying cause of all this government by cliff we've been living through,s which the fact that the senate doesn't function. senator reed chooses not to do a budget resolution for three consecutive years, we did no appropriation bills, no bill to address the debt ceiling and the consequence of this is we end up at midnight on december 31st with a gun to our head trying to get something done at the last minute nobody's had a chance to look at. what the house is saying is, it's about time the senate actually did what any law requires, which is pass a budget. and begin the process of setting the parameters for how we will solve this problem and live within our means and how we will eventually
the house is expected to vote on extending the debt ceiling. there is a new plan the house will take up which would say no one in the house of congress that doesn't pass a budget should get paid after i believe may 19th or something. is that a plan that would also pass in the senate? >> it might, becky. i've got give the house credit for focusing on the real underlying cause of all this government by cliff we've been living through,s which the fact that the senate doesn't function....
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Jan 22, 2013
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what she has to say about the debt ceiling standoff. >>> what a week it is going to be. "squawk on the street" is back in a minute. twins. i didn't see them coming. i have obligations. cute obligations, but obligations. i need to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackrock. call 1-800-ishares for a prospectus which includes investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. read and consider it carefully before investing. risk includes possible loss of principal. >>> shares of research in motion are up sharply this morning, after the ceo said the ongoing review could potentially leetd to the sale of its handset business. plaque berry upgrades alone could in fact drive themes. the question in terms of if they do license their software platform, jim, who would they license to, since knockia is with microsoft, and samsung, motorola with android, so who is left to license w
what she has to say about the debt ceiling standoff. >>> what a week it is going to be. "squawk on the street" is back in a minute. twins. i didn't see them coming. i have obligations. cute obligations, but obligations. i need to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackrock....
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Jan 24, 2013
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ceiling. >> thanks so much, bill. we are talking economy and politics with representative eric cantor right now, and representative, great to have you on the program. >> great to be here with you. >> thank you so much for joining us. >> let's get right to t.yesterday or this week rather the house passed a debt limit extension until mid-may. what does that buy us? >> well, what is buys us is a time for this debate about borrowing and spending to really develop into what i hope will be a robust discussion that will yield some results. we know that for almost four years the united states senate has not passed a budget, and that's part of the problem that's been contributing to the out-of-control spending in washington, and what we've said is we will extend the debt ceiling for three months to allow time for the united states senate to write a budget so we can then begin the discussions on how we're going to repay this money that we're going to borrow as well as begin to manage down the debt long term. >> what's the reali
ceiling. >> thanks so much, bill. we are talking economy and politics with representative eric cantor right now, and representative, great to have you on the program. >> great to be here with you. >> thank you so much for joining us. >> let's get right to t.yesterday or this week rather the house passed a debt limit extension until mid-may. what does that buy us? >> well, what is buys us is a time for this debate about borrowing and spending to really develop into...
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Jan 25, 2013
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look there's a reason why the republicans in the white house caved on the debt ceiling. the public is not with them on these issues. >> don't know. kate, you have a little different view. i think republicans now back in the driver's seat because they cooperated on raising the debt ceiling. they forced the senate democrats to put up a budget. the next thing will be the continuing resolution, short term spending cuts. i think the gop by stopping taxes is back in play, they are back in play. >> i love your optimism, larry. i wish i could be jumping up and down with you. but i'm afraid the republicans are in full retreat. i'm hoping -- i know they won't agree to this tax increase. the senator is absolutely right. but the problem is the democrats are using this as another opportunity to put republicans of throwing granny off the cliff, caring only about their millionaire and billionaire buddies. patty murray said we'll put it on the people who best can afford it. it worked for president obama, the democrats, like the cbs news political director said is to go for the jugular,
look there's a reason why the republicans in the white house caved on the debt ceiling. the public is not with them on these issues. >> don't know. kate, you have a little different view. i think republicans now back in the driver's seat because they cooperated on raising the debt ceiling. they forced the senate democrats to put up a budget. the next thing will be the continuing resolution, short term spending cuts. i think the gop by stopping taxes is back in play, they are back in play....
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Jan 28, 2013
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are you expecting another battle of the debt ceiling? >> we love the stock market last year. yes, i don't think the battle is going to be as brutal as the last-minute fiscal cliff negotiations. but i do agree that the year will probably start out a little slow because a lot of plans were put on hold in the fourth quarter. but look. so far 70% of the companies that have reported earnings over the last couple of weeks have been above expectations. so that's a good trend. we think gdp will build as we go through the year. and so we continue to like this market. you have to be a little cautious when the dow is with i think 2% of its all-time record high nap is amazing. that is really amazing. >> wow. looks like we got a blowout here on yahoo. let me get you the numbers here. 32 cents a share is where they're reporting the fourth quarter on earnings. revenue also looking better than expected at $1.22 billion in revenue. that compares to an estimate of $1.21 billion. we saw yahoo trading just as the numbers were coming out. 32 cents a share on $1.22 billion. >> maria? >> yes. >> li
are you expecting another battle of the debt ceiling? >> we love the stock market last year. yes, i don't think the battle is going to be as brutal as the last-minute fiscal cliff negotiations. but i do agree that the year will probably start out a little slow because a lot of plans were put on hold in the fourth quarter. but look. so far 70% of the companies that have reported earnings over the last couple of weeks have been above expectations. so that's a good trend. we think gdp will...
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Jan 29, 2013
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the debt ceiling debate has been delayed for three months no. reason why the market can't keep running at this point just because there's no obvious catalyst to run into, but at some point, whether it's the revenue growth or something out of washington, you know, i think we'll -- we're due for a pause if not outright correction. >> fundamentals matter. >> sooner or later they do. >> please, go ahead. >> just going to mention two cautionary notes here. even though i'm pretty constructive on the economy i'll give you a good reason to worry about april sis the sequestering right? i think markets have gotten very comfortable with the washington dysfunction going on because they keep going up at the deadline and then fix the problem without damage to the economy and my sense is sequester happening, $100 billion out of the economy, is actually on the high side and i don't think that's built into the market and the other thing, the last time the market was at these levels, the size of the economy was only a little bit smaller than it was now, profits a
the debt ceiling debate has been delayed for three months no. reason why the market can't keep running at this point just because there's no obvious catalyst to run into, but at some point, whether it's the revenue growth or something out of washington, you know, i think we'll -- we're due for a pause if not outright correction. >> fundamentals matter. >> sooner or later they do. >> please, go ahead. >> just going to mention two cautionary notes here. even though i'm...
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Jan 22, 2013
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>> but if we are just pushing the debt ceiling, are we just kidding ourselves? the same issues -- >> but we're traders, so -- >> true. >> i'm hopeful it is a sign it won't come to this brinksmanship. i hope that's the case. because that leads, i think, to not the best outcome. whatever you can pull together at the very last minute. so, i think that's kind of a positive. i, like pete, i want to stay long, but with the volatility index here, i think you have to buy some relatively cheap protection. >> so, you are a buyer but with protection. >> yes. >> we talked about the dow having its best january in quite some time. look at the components that have lead us higher, that have gotten us to this point. hewlett-packard, the best dow gainer in the month of january, up 20%. travelers, big gain today, up 9% on the month. caterpillar, up 7.5%, nice diversified basket. >> it's got to encourage you a little bit. the stock closed positive on the day after opening down buck, buck and a half. it think caterpillar is interesting. hewlett-packard, we thought we saw copitch lak
>> but if we are just pushing the debt ceiling, are we just kidding ourselves? the same issues -- >> but we're traders, so -- >> true. >> i'm hopeful it is a sign it won't come to this brinksmanship. i hope that's the case. because that leads, i think, to not the best outcome. whatever you can pull together at the very last minute. so, i think that's kind of a positive. i, like pete, i want to stay long, but with the volatility index here, i think you have to buy some...
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Jan 28, 2013
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we had gone through the debt ceiling. and that the united states budget situation was not the clear and present danger that it had been in the past. >> the neville chamberlain moment, right? >> you could be right about that. you could be right. i'm just saying -- >> half full or half empty at least we agree on exactly the level, right? and half if not at all. >> i like the idea that we can now turn from emergency measures to questions of how we create growth. there were a lot of good discussion about that and it would be nice -- >> talk to ben about that. he's obviously not aware that we're not in crisis anymore. >> i know we've got to go. but it would be nice to begin our conversation from here on out. how do we make growth instead of how do we put our fires? that's a different conversation. >> you'll never learn that at davos. >> you want to have one of those arguments, rick or just -- we're much more civil than those guys, right? >> hey, civility. the highlight of monday. >> and friday. >> thanks, guys. >> all he needs
we had gone through the debt ceiling. and that the united states budget situation was not the clear and present danger that it had been in the past. >> the neville chamberlain moment, right? >> you could be right about that. you could be right. i'm just saying -- >> half full or half empty at least we agree on exactly the level, right? and half if not at all. >> i like the idea that we can now turn from emergency measures to questions of how we create growth. there were...
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Jan 28, 2013
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and i should add to that a constitutional crisis, in a way, because this whole debt ceiling has been a weapon that the house of representatives has used to gain power. it's not just the republicans versus the democrats. it's the house versus the president. >> meanwhile, these markets are on fire. another good week for the market. the s&p 500 hitting a new five-year high. what is driving stocks? and do you think it's sustainable for the year? some of the risk has been pulled out of the of the market. so the most recent is three months. some of the ris ks. and maybe just that the election isn't determined. maybe some are happy. some are, some aren't. but it's solved. markets don't like uncertainty. so even though it wasn't very likely the european union would fall apart, even though it wasn't very likely the u.s. would fall on its debt, i think that lifted markts a lot. >> meanwhile, new appointments in the obama administration. timmy geithner, the last day was on friday. i want to ask you about his successor. he's certainly served during a tumultuous time. >> if i'm going to give him
and i should add to that a constitutional crisis, in a way, because this whole debt ceiling has been a weapon that the house of representatives has used to gain power. it's not just the republicans versus the democrats. it's the house versus the president. >> meanwhile, these markets are on fire. another good week for the market. the s&p 500 hitting a new five-year high. what is driving stocks? and do you think it's sustainable for the year? some of the risk has been pulled out of the...
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Jan 24, 2013
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now the spot slight on senate democrats to make a move on the debt ceiling. joining us this morning, senator bob casey, a democrat of pennsylvania, vice chairman of the joint economic committee. senator, good morning to you. >> good morning. good to be with you. >> so the house says no budget, no one gets paid. you have introduced legislation if there's a shutdown, no one gets paid. why don't we stop paying everybody and just call it a day? >> well, look, i think it's important that we have measures introduced to hold folks accountable for what i think would be irresponsible behavior to allow default. but i think we are moving the right direction now. there is action by the house, there's a positive step. we have to build on t but i think it will pass. and it give, i think, some certainty on this specific question of the debt ceiling and the question of default, because we know from 2011, the adverse impact 2,000 points in the -- that the dow lost. we know the consumer confidence took a six-month hit because of the debt ceiling fight. so, to take that off the
now the spot slight on senate democrats to make a move on the debt ceiling. joining us this morning, senator bob casey, a democrat of pennsylvania, vice chairman of the joint economic committee. senator, good morning to you. >> good morning. good to be with you. >> so the house says no budget, no one gets paid. you have introduced legislation if there's a shutdown, no one gets paid. why don't we stop paying everybody and just call it a day? >> well, look, i think it's...
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Jan 23, 2013
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debt ceiling for nearly four months. that bill is expected to get almost unanimous support from the republican caucus, meaning it will pass. democrats would prefer a longer term solution. senate majority leader harry reid has expressed support for the house bill. the white house says president obama won't stand in the way of it becoming law. ross? >> yeah. >>> we've been asking as a result here in davos how well u.s. lawmakers' persistent failure to come up with a permanent solution impact the u.s. economy. this is some of these views. >> the lack of decisions in the u.s., kicking the can down the road will be a drag. i think it will be a slower start in the united states as a result generally. >> actually very concerned because the issue is demography, medicare. it's not -- everybody focuses on the cost of running the state. about 15% to 20%. but in the short term, i think actually there will be answers. >> longer term, i think u.s. will be supported by the shale gas and the shale oil industry that is growing very fast
debt ceiling for nearly four months. that bill is expected to get almost unanimous support from the republican caucus, meaning it will pass. democrats would prefer a longer term solution. senate majority leader harry reid has expressed support for the house bill. the white house says president obama won't stand in the way of it becoming law. ross? >> yeah. >>> we've been asking as a result here in davos how well u.s. lawmakers' persistent failure to come up with a permanent...
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Jan 25, 2013
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three or four months with the debt ceiling. so the sequester is the next thing that republicans -- >> yes, sequester and the budget. and, i don't know what richard things, but my view was -- >> hasn't been a budget in four years -- >> there has been a budget. not a stand-alone budget. they just keep continuing the budget that already exists. >> is that a problem? >> it can be a problem. >> how do you -- >> i think it was -- i blame partisanship in washington. i don't think that's any one person's fault by any means. i think not making the fight about the debt ceiling, which has the unfortunate downside that if you mess it up, the u.s. government defaults, and it's a financial catastrophe, this was a sign of maturity. i think on the republicans' part that let's make it about the budget. so the budget is now going to come to so-called continuing resolution. they're going to have to have a fight about a government shutdown. this is what they should be arguing about. what does the government spend money on? what should it spend mon
three or four months with the debt ceiling. so the sequester is the next thing that republicans -- >> yes, sequester and the budget. and, i don't know what richard things, but my view was -- >> hasn't been a budget in four years -- >> there has been a budget. not a stand-alone budget. they just keep continuing the budget that already exists. >> is that a problem? >> it can be a problem. >> how do you -- >> i think it was -- i blame partisanship in...
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Jan 29, 2013
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let's take a look at the next idea about the debt ceiling debate. i think this is a really important finding here, guys. we ask do you think congress is going to increase the debt ceiling every time it's reached, refuse to raise it at some point and don't know? you can see 86% are saying that congress will raise the debt ceiling every time it's reached this year, when i think about some of the reasons why stocks have gotten higher because i think that thread along with the fiscal cliff has come out of the market and that there's overwhelming sentiment that coss i solve the get problem. we asked wall street to grade our treasury secretary going out and one coming in. you can see a pretty strong sentiment that he was a seed secretary with a 2.2. jack lew, the sentiment there. 2.0. one more thing on the deficit i just want to say and maybe this is worthy of discussion here. i think this is a sign that things have improved, at these economists and guys on wall street are saying we should solve the deficit and do it now. i think if things were as bad as
let's take a look at the next idea about the debt ceiling debate. i think this is a really important finding here, guys. we ask do you think congress is going to increase the debt ceiling every time it's reached, refuse to raise it at some point and don't know? you can see 86% are saying that congress will raise the debt ceiling every time it's reached this year, when i think about some of the reasons why stocks have gotten higher because i think that thread along with the fiscal cliff has come...
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Jan 23, 2013
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we do get the debt ceiling as a pullback, our fund will do well. in that growth market, we'll tend to lag performance. we'll still participate, but not to the same extent. >> bob, thanks for joining us. >> thanks, david. >>> when we come back, looking to escape from the daily grind of the city. robert frank takes you to a private island 15 minutes from manhattan. it could be yours if you've got something close to $20 million. back in a couple of minutes. [ male announcer ] some day, your life will flash before your eyes. make it worth watching. introducing the 2013 lexus ls. an entirely new pursuit. >>> the financial elite are meeting at the economic forum in davos, switzerland, this week. jamie dimon sat down with our own maria bartiromo. we have more on that interview. maria? >> hi there, melissa. that inte. >> this morning i moderated a panel and it was a big debate on how the financial services sector will evolve. people like axel weber, who you will hear from later on "the closing bell." basically believes the big banks are going to have to sp
we do get the debt ceiling as a pullback, our fund will do well. in that growth market, we'll tend to lag performance. we'll still participate, but not to the same extent. >> bob, thanks for joining us. >> thanks, david. >>> when we come back, looking to escape from the daily grind of the city. robert frank takes you to a private island 15 minutes from manhattan. it could be yours if you've got something close to $20 million. back in a couple of minutes. [ male announcer ]...
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Jan 24, 2013
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less carbon intensity and more jobs seems to go well politically. >> debt ceiling and the issues that we're confronting ahead of us? we just got through our last fiscal cliff. >> one dark cloud that sits above the u.s. economy. and it's easy within our -- >> is it a real cloud, though? some of the comments you hear from ceos now said we're just going to have to get used to all of these cliffs, and we're going to have to just keep going and make just forget about what's going on in washington. is that -- >> that's the reality case which i live in. i live in that world, reality. and the reality is we're moving on anyway. but, of course, uncertainty in the consumer is what drives us all. and the consumer needs to see some degree of political certainty, and let's hope that this is not a kick the can down the road, but a real deal will emerge. we have to solve this and tax reform, the two big policy items above and beyond energy. >> you think that's going to happen? >> let me put it this way, i'm bullish but there's a better case of that happening in the second term than in the first term.
less carbon intensity and more jobs seems to go well politically. >> debt ceiling and the issues that we're confronting ahead of us? we just got through our last fiscal cliff. >> one dark cloud that sits above the u.s. economy. and it's easy within our -- >> is it a real cloud, though? some of the comments you hear from ceos now said we're just going to have to get used to all of these cliffs, and we're going to have to just keep going and make just forget about what's going...
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Jan 23, 2013
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they aren't about the fiscal cliff or the debt ceiling or the election. it is totally working this market. so i have to go back to the mathematical well. what can i tell you, we want to know what the queen thinks it could go next. take a look at this chart. the s&p said it would. and shortly thereafter she told us that the low was likely to be pivotal, as a key part of her methodology. you heard me talk about fibonacci ratios. these numbers are 23.6%. 38.2%. 50 % and 69.1%. it is eerie and according to many technicians it is a crucial turning point in price targets. and you apply the ratios that i mentioned and there is always an important level for that security. based on that low the s&p was ready to roar and she gave us a price target of 1510. last time we highlighted her work she said that if the s&p could break out it would be a straight line straight shot to her 1510 target. sure enough, i went back to her for info. so what does she think about the s&p prospects right now? since it took out the key high it made on december 18th before the big end of
they aren't about the fiscal cliff or the debt ceiling or the election. it is totally working this market. so i have to go back to the mathematical well. what can i tell you, we want to know what the queen thinks it could go next. take a look at this chart. the s&p said it would. and shortly thereafter she told us that the low was likely to be pivotal, as a key part of her methodology. you heard me talk about fibonacci ratios. these numbers are 23.6%. 38.2%. 50 % and 69.1%. it is eerie and...
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Jan 24, 2013
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ceiling. i said you know what? because the ecb finally started acting like the federal reserve, the panic is now over. didn't say the crisis is over, but the panic is over. >> you said carry stability. you talked about tend of financial panic. >> others are saying cautious optimism. >> right. but there's two separations. once we get done dealing with the panic. we'll be farced then we're not part of a business cycle. ben there, sdun this. >> but you've got to get ceiling debate in the u.s. you've got the italian elections. so we will see. >> the perception over here is that the extreme part of the republican party has backed off on this issue of the debt ceiling. >> well, sure, they're extending it. >> that's the perception there. >> steve, there you go. jon fortt better watch out, that's all i'm saying. >> he's covering the economy. we can swap for a while. >> that's not a badi. what do you think, kelly? >> receive, i have the blackberry 11 for the keyboard, right? >> no. you'll elect the vir
ceiling. i said you know what? because the ecb finally started acting like the federal reserve, the panic is now over. didn't say the crisis is over, but the panic is over. >> you said carry stability. you talked about tend of financial panic. >> others are saying cautious optimism. >> right. but there's two separations. once we get done dealing with the panic. we'll be farced then we're not part of a business cycle. ben there, sdun this. >> but you've got to get ceiling...
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Jan 28, 2013
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ceiling. how that turns out will probably dictate how 2013 happens for cat piller and maybe for the world. >> despite the cautious outlook, shares of cat are trading higher. is now the time to buy that name? 90 seconds to make the case. why is now the time. >> i like this for macro ropeses and micro. 60% of revenues are overseas. and 27% in asia. an opportunity there. u.s. construction, 25% market share, leading here. micro, doing as best they can in a challenging environment. in incremental margins better than expected. in the fourth quarter expect more throughout the year. i think guidance of $7 on the low end was no worse than expected. >> what's the problem then? >> first of all, the stock is up 20% since december 16th. i don't think what we heard about earnings or guidance justifies more than that. this is a great company. don't think it will out-perform the market. the only reason you own an individual stock because it out-performs average stock. $17 is given and they don't give us quart
ceiling. how that turns out will probably dictate how 2013 happens for cat piller and maybe for the world. >> despite the cautious outlook, shares of cat are trading higher. is now the time to buy that name? 90 seconds to make the case. why is now the time. >> i like this for macro ropeses and micro. 60% of revenues are overseas. and 27% in asia. an opportunity there. u.s. construction, 25% market share, leading here. micro, doing as best they can in a challenging environment. in...
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Jan 23, 2013
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debt ceiling, supposed to hit that. now it will be steve 19. there's no austerity. >> what michael is saying in a very long-winded way is don't fight the fed. not fighting the fed. the fed, europe, japan's now with b to go hog wild. >> sure, sure. >> the whole world is printing new money. >> abe, the new prime minister of japan, japan is at least discussing a new quantitative easing scheme for them. they are going to be printing a lot of yen. >> the point is all that tends to be good for assets like stocks? >> very stimulative. europe will have to start printing money as well to deal with their issues so you don't want to fight that liquidity. >> earnings don't matter then? >> earnings do matter. i think probably revenue will matter a lot more than earnings by the end of 2013. earnings matter and fundamentals matter but the backdrop is we know what we think may not be relevant or what bernanke thinks is relative, he'll keep this a liquid environment for the foreseeable future. >> jim bianco, earnings matter. steve's liked to the earnings so far
debt ceiling, supposed to hit that. now it will be steve 19. there's no austerity. >> what michael is saying in a very long-winded way is don't fight the fed. not fighting the fed. the fed, europe, japan's now with b to go hog wild. >> sure, sure. >> the whole world is printing new money. >> abe, the new prime minister of japan, japan is at least discussing a new quantitative easing scheme for them. they are going to be printing a lot of yen. >> the point is all...
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Jan 22, 2013
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i don't think it takes much to have another debt ceiling debate and debacle would not be helpful here. i think there's so much minon the sidelines between the retail investor and the corporate america today, has so much money to invest. get rid of some of that uncertainty and this economy will go. i'm quite bullish about that. >> can you provide guidance for this year without knowing exactly what washington is going to come up with? >> we gave a range. we don't give guidance. we give a range on a conservative side and optimistic side. we're right inside that range. had a great start to the year. we're ahead of consensus. we her record asset gathering and record guidance sales and great control. had a great start. >> had a good three months in the stock as well at this point. fred, always good to see you. >> thanks for coming by. >> the president of amayor trade joining us today. dell shares sharply higher today. after david faber broke the news that microsoft is now in talks to help finance that buyout of dell. david joins us now with more details. they are getting a party together, a
i don't think it takes much to have another debt ceiling debate and debacle would not be helpful here. i think there's so much minon the sidelines between the retail investor and the corporate america today, has so much money to invest. get rid of some of that uncertainty and this economy will go. i'm quite bullish about that. >> can you provide guidance for this year without knowing exactly what washington is going to come up with? >> we gave a range. we don't give guidance. we...
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Jan 23, 2013
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. >> are you expecting a fight around the debt ceiling? do you think we'll have a disruption around this inability to compromise? >> i know nothing more than you other than what i read in the paper today and it seems like they are already starting to. could mice by pushing it out and asking for a budget which i think all seems rational and compromise by the way so i applaud them. >> what does your gut tell you about all the money moving into stocks recently? had a fantastic early 2013. do you think this is sustainable? >> the economy grows it's sustainable, and i still think you can buy american companies at pretty good prices. these are some of the world class companies, you know, not just american companies, european and japanese and chinese companies, but you are still buying at fairly good prices and the alternatives aren't that good, yeah, i'm comfortable owning stocks right now. >> are you saying that kind of comfort on the part of investors, the private bank, wealth management? what are you seeing in terms of the sentiment? >> i thi
. >> are you expecting a fight around the debt ceiling? do you think we'll have a disruption around this inability to compromise? >> i know nothing more than you other than what i read in the paper today and it seems like they are already starting to. could mice by pushing it out and asking for a budget which i think all seems rational and compromise by the way so i applaud them. >> what does your gut tell you about all the money moving into stocks recently? had a fantastic...
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Jan 29, 2013
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ceiling deby the and at record highs in the market. does this become helpful. alan greenspan used to look at the stock market and say there's a wrelt effect. when the stock market is going up people aren't worried about debt. are we fooling ourselves that we're looking at the market going higher and a wealth effect going on and there's real problems that have yet to be addressed in. >> that's a great point. in each of these moments they are responding to two things. kind of an action forcing moment. we had the cliff and now we'll have the sequester and continuing res hughes, and the market wants us to resolve these issues and each time we skirt around them, again, with the bare minimum, but we don't really fix the problem, and my concern is the market responds positively because we don't have the immediate problem, but we're really putting cap on what kind of growth, recovery, real competitiveness we can have in the economy until we fix the debt overhang. what you're saying it lulls us into a complacent moment and people are saying, we
ceiling deby the and at record highs in the market. does this become helpful. alan greenspan used to look at the stock market and say there's a wrelt effect. when the stock market is going up people aren't worried about debt. are we fooling ourselves that we're looking at the market going higher and a wealth effect going on and there's real problems that have yet to be addressed in. >> that's a great point. in each of these moments they are responding to two things. kind of an action...
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Jan 25, 2013
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ceiling, that's not especially helpful. that's what actually a lot of u.s. leaders complained about with the europeans about a year ago. they were saying oh, you know just pushing the can down the road yet again. well, sure. >> i guess the whole issue of do you provide stimulus to a weak and anemic story or do you cut back in a time that things are really not growing so adding austerity to an already weak story? >> what is needed is confidence. and you need to restore confidence in the way an economy is run. so things will vary depending on the strength of the currency, depending on the financing needs, the financing situation of the country and for some countries austerity, strong right from the start, is needed. when, you know, the situation of finance -- when the financing is under huge pressure. as has been the case with some european countries. in other situations, where there is a degree of confidence where markets know that the governments are serious about what they're doing, the pace doesn't have to be as, you know
ceiling, that's not especially helpful. that's what actually a lot of u.s. leaders complained about with the europeans about a year ago. they were saying oh, you know just pushing the can down the road yet again. well, sure. >> i guess the whole issue of do you provide stimulus to a weak and anemic story or do you cut back in a time that things are really not growing so adding austerity to an already weak story? >> what is needed is confidence. and you need to restore confidence in...
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ceiling. similar to what we had in the summer of 2011. >> they gave you a little bit of cover right? they extended at least and kicked the can for a short period of time down the road. so washington at least is going to be out of it. say for another 30 days. before we have to start worrying about the sequester correct? >> correct. >> is there a bubble in bonds? >> there is. if you look at spreads they're much too tight to the curb especially with the high yield. people are looking just at the nominal interest they're collecting but not thinking about the duration of what happens if ultimately the fed withdraws liquidity and rates back up. if the economy were to go back into recession many high yield bonds especially the lower rated ones might have a hard time paying the interest because obviously business would be soft. you have to be careful about the risk that you're taking for that nominal yield of 5 to 5.5%. >> scott, can the market continue to dismiss the under performance of the technolo
ceiling. similar to what we had in the summer of 2011. >> they gave you a little bit of cover right? they extended at least and kicked the can for a short period of time down the road. so washington at least is going to be out of it. say for another 30 days. before we have to start worrying about the sequester correct? >> correct. >> is there a bubble in bonds? >> there is. if you look at spreads they're much too tight to the curb especially with the high yield. people...
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so the resolution of the debt ceiling crisis in particular, i think was a big moment for the market. we are targeting 2.25% on the ten-year over the next couple of months. as you mentioned, economic momentum is getting a little better. really, the underlying trend of things is not so bad for the economy. and if you do get, as your previous guest noted, another move up of 3%, 4%, 5% in equities, then that could easily be the impetus to get treasury yields even higher than they are today. >> the big question, and we should talk about it, is the losses that people could suffer moving forward. but for the moment, if we take a historical perspective, we're still at very low interest rates, aren't we. 4%, 5% would be a normal rate. i assume this is not necessarily at the moment at this level a problem in slowing the economy. >> no, we're not panicked. in fact, we think that treasury yields will probably find a plateau somewhere around that 2.25% and end the year somewhere about where they are today. treasury yields, at least at the moment, are heavily influenced by supply and demand factor
so the resolution of the debt ceiling crisis in particular, i think was a big moment for the market. we are targeting 2.25% on the ten-year over the next couple of months. as you mentioned, economic momentum is getting a little better. really, the underlying trend of things is not so bad for the economy. and if you do get, as your previous guest noted, another move up of 3%, 4%, 5% in equities, then that could easily be the impetus to get treasury yields even higher than they are today....
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and navigating the financial crisis to facing off with congress against the debt ceiling and the fiscal cliff, here is a look at the past four years as geithner gets set to exit. >> nbc news is now reporting that timothy geithner will be the treasury secretary under president-elect barack obama. >> tim geithner offers not just extensive experience shaping economic policy and managing financial markets. he also has an unparalleled understanding of our current economic crisis. >> the ayes are 60, nays are 34. >> i, timothy f. geithner, i pledge all of my ability to help outline that challenge. we are outlining a new fiscal stability plan. >> will you step down from your post sdmp. >> it is a great privilege for me to serve this president and i am very pleased to have a chance to address the range of concerns you said. i agree with almost nothing in what you said. >> we've got the t.a.r.p. it's suppose to expire. >> we are working to put the t.a.r.p. out of its misery and no one will be happier than i am. >> i am complete confidence in tim geithner. >> lots of great people with lots of exp
and navigating the financial crisis to facing off with congress against the debt ceiling and the fiscal cliff, here is a look at the past four years as geithner gets set to exit. >> nbc news is now reporting that timothy geithner will be the treasury secretary under president-elect barack obama. >> tim geithner offers not just extensive experience shaping economic policy and managing financial markets. he also has an unparalleled understanding of our current economic crisis....